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China’s
market for medicines will be the world’s largest.
The country’s hundreds of millions of patients
remain largely untreated. From 1990 to 1999, the Chinese
pharmaceutical market grew 20% annually, and since then,
at 10% annually. The U.S. State Department estimates
the 2001 market at US$27.2 billion, as derived from
Chinese Customs statistics.
As large as the market numbers currently are, the market
is still vastly underserved due to the weak domestic
industry and the inability of foreign manufacturers
to adequately penetrate. This enormous market, therefore,
remains “up for grabs.” To illustrate, the
U.S. population is one-fifth the size of China’s,
yet the ratio of total U.S. versus Chinese morphine
usage is a staggering 148-to-1.
U.S.
per capita usage of a product as generic and as accessible
as morphine, therefore, is approximately 770 times greater
than that of China. The scope and scale of unmet demand
is clear.
Why
China?
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High demand - Immense population of untreated patients
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Low supply - Weak domestic industry and minimal foreign
presence
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Elite, government-endorsed hospitals for clinical
trials; VIP physicians publish papers and provide
publicity
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Fast-track status and protection for drugs new to
China
- Lower
costs across the board
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